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The crux of the problem rests on nearly 12 million government employees, or 6 percent of Brazil’s work force. Retired public ministers receive about 12,570 reals ($4,334) per month. Retired judges and congressmen receive about R8,027 ($2,767). When the average person makes roughly $300 a month, and the average private-sector retiree receives just $129 from the social-security system, the imbalance is obvious.
The change will cap government pensions at R2,400 a month, cut by 30 percent the pension that can be passed on to beneficiaries, and add an 11-percent tax to retirees collecting more than R1,058 from government funds. If approved, the tax would affect 80 percent of retirees and add more than $1.5 billion a year to the pension system, Veja (April 25) explained.
A poll in early May by the firm Ibope found that 78 percent of Brazilians were in favor of the plan and only 7 percent were opposed. A May 1 editorial in O Globo described the proposal as a “historic chance for the Brazilian political class” that could rescue the state from spending deficits. But Fernanda Nardelli pointed out in Correio Braziliense (May 1) that 70 million Brazilians in the private sector would be unaffected by the change and that nearly 57 percent of them don’t pay into the social-security system because they either don’t earn enough or work in the informal economy. According to an Ibope poll in March, 70 percent of those polled don’t even know what social security is, Nardelli concluded.
Although Lula’s plan has garnered public support, opposition has come from politicians, many from his own Workers Party (PT). Veja (April 16) reported that only 34 percent of Brazil’s senators and state representatives were in favor of taxing government pensions. Only 28 percent of legislators defend a constitutional change in public-service pension funds; 44 percent are against. The major media have taken to calling these naysayers “the radical wing” of Lula’s party. Luciana Genro, a “radical” São Paulo representative, was quoted in O Estado de São Paulo as saying she would unite “socialists” to block the “reactionary reforms” (March 14). She said the left needed to pressure Lula to drop a plan that is more IMF than PT.
PT party officials have even threatened to dump dissenters. On April 28, government leader Aloizio Mercadante and party leader Tião Viana, in a closed-door meeting with 12 of the 14 Workers Party senators, threatened to oust outspoken critic Heloísa Helena. Istoé reported (May 7) that for Mercadante, “[Helena] is an isolated problem, and without her, reforms would pass without much difficulty.”
Pro-reform O Estado de São Paulo gave top billing to a speech by Lula on May 7: “I intend to make these reforms because I think...it is the only possible way...that we’ll have money to pay retirees. It’s not a question of arithmetic; it’s a decision of whether or not you will think of the next election or the next generation.”
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