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But IFPRI said Wednesday that local causes were behind Ethiopia’s persistent food crises, including poor governance (mostly in the past), the helplessness of its farmers, problems with food production, and markets that do not function. “I don’t see an external force here in the case of Ethiopia,” said Joachim Von Braun, director general of IFPRI. “Nobody was pushing Ethiopia to sell extensively. Food surplus was short-term,” he added, “so, let’s not look for external culprits.” Von Braun, whose group’s donors include the World Bank and the Inter-American Development Bank, referred to a legacy of poverty, which will take many years to overcome, and Ethiopia’s “structural situation” as reasons behind the famine. The country emerged in the early 1990s from three decades of civil war and a communist, centrally planned economy. According to the IFPRI report, Ethiopia’s millions of small-scale farmers remain rooted in subsistence agriculture. They are almost entirely dependent on the weather, and the country is prone to drought three to four years out of every 10. Five million to 6 million people simply do not have the money to buy food, even in periods of surplus, which increases the vulnerability of poor farmers. To reduce such susceptibility, argues the report, the government, under Prime Minister Meles Zenawi, needs to introduce crop insurance and invest, with the help of international donors, in systems to better measure and forecast production and weather patterns.
IFPRI says that grain yields in Ethiopia average little more than one ton per hectare compared with nearly six tons per hectare in the United States. Farmers in remote areas also find it difficult and costly to buy fertilizer and other materials and transport them over long distances on bad roads. In northern Ethiopia, for example, the average distance to the nearest market town is nearly 40 kilometers.
In 1984, there were reports of surplus in the south while a million people died of hunger in the northeastern region of the country, and today only one-quarter of food produced reaches the market. “That locks poor farmers into subsistence agriculture, which condemns them to poverty,” said the report. The government and international aid donors must invest in infrastructure—roads, telecommunications networks, and modern storage, it advised. Because 85 percent of its population is agriculture-based, Ethiopia must remain committed to developing this most critical sector, added IFPRI. “Averting food crises in the future requires increasing the incomes of the vast majority of the population, in part through investing in research...to assist farmers in producing a diversity of crops and livestock, including high-value products,” concluded the report.
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